Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 384.069837 436.655119 495.271426 565.718444 648.431755 742.884011 859.499946
2025-09-21 304.542293 372.630830 455.542836 564.992511 707.247713 888.063216 1138.808884
2025-09-28 252.236893 322.796350 413.544489 540.681295 717.216977 958.264778 1320.432065
2025-10-05 231.120172 307.460264 410.432886 562.515834 786.699068 1113.736153 1643.836123
2025-10-12 216.328826 297.578015 411.812213 588.591807 863.579215 1289.814766 2031.717494
2025-10-19 198.329257 280.446196 399.941395 592.269129 905.500303 1417.275818 2366.172274
2025-10-26 179.039620 259.010593 378.761739 577.977680 915.376982 1492.338443 2623.354862
2025-11-02 163.827804 241.985531 362.132467 568.217716 930.280436 1576.774512 2914.081017
2025-11-09 156.104692 235.628410 361.279490 583.894103 990.630174 1751.739716 3422.314921
2025-11-16 145.623912 223.818627 350.248213 580.461643 1015.425853 1863.103132 3823.580485
2025-11-23 135.639450 211.891174 337.771078 572.773553 1030.691907 1957.476978 4209.520169
2025-11-30 128.474045 203.997955 331.315828 575.097551 1065.367912 2097.257555 4738.594922
2025-12-07 119.399311 192.347699 317.636202 563.036371 1070.857791 2178.639027 5154.538863
2025-12-14 112.739792 184.368687 309.806471 561.429311 1098.138500 2314.746969 5759.487057
2025-12-21 103.614347 171.341559 291.673046 537.398037 1073.632642 2325.217462 6015.937063
2025-12-28 101.429785 170.524939 295.960483 559.062093 1153.414103 2604.121096 7161.064360
2026-01-04 99.850402 170.649811 301.972563 584.948123 1247.064984 2939.422508 8620.496486
2026-01-11 95.744044 165.755279 297.834991 588.598153 1288.374496 3145.157646 9729.923731
2026-01-18 90.007364 157.380188 286.158392 574.411933 1283.631729 3222.006295 10406.070609
2026-01-25 85.208820 150.485473 276.915024 564.723533 1288.966757 3329.600463 11248.642433
2026-02-01 83.303211 149.058067 278.642774 580.284859 1362.449893 3658.530615 13148.044071
2026-02-08 79.699575 144.044822 272.551268 576.877644 1384.638208 3833.587774 14478.055898
2026-02-15 75.967261 138.540678 265.017528 569.245993 1394.120212 3970.309813 15707.554024